Policy Engine

Test-run policies before implementation. Forecast outcomes of specific policy interventions to help governments and NGOs make data-driven decisions.

If US passes $2T climate bill, will green jobs grow 30% by 2026?
POLICY SCENARIOResolves 12/31/2026
$500

US passes $2T climate investment bill

72% probability

Baseline: Without policy: 8% job growth

With Policy: With policy: 30%+ job growth

If EU enforces strict AI regulation, will innovation slow 20%?
POLICY SCENARIOResolves 12/31/2025
$300

EU AI Act fully enforced

58% probability

Baseline: Without policy: Normal innovation pace

With Policy: With policy: Innovation slows 20%

If carbon tax reaches $75/ton, will emissions drop 40% by 2030?
POLICY SCENARIOResolves 12/31/2030
$1000

Global carbon tax implemented at $75/ton

65% probability

Baseline: Baseline emissions trajectory

With Policy: 40% reduction in global emissions