Case Studies
See how organizations across sectors use Tier9 for risk intelligence and strategic decision-making.
Global Manufacturer Avoids $40M Disruption
Challenge
A Fortune 500 manufacturer needed early warning on geopolitical events affecting their Asian supply chain.
Solution
Implemented Tier9 watchlists on 23 geopolitical questions with automated Slack alerts when probabilities crossed key thresholds.
Results
"We saw the Taiwan Strait probability spike 3 weeks before it hit mainstream news. That early warning let us pre-position inventory."
— VP of Supply Chain Risk
NGO Optimizes $12M Grant Portfolio
Challenge
A global humanitarian organization needed to allocate limited resources to regions where policy change was most likely.
Solution
Used Tier9 to track policy adoption probabilities across 45 countries, prioritizing advocacy in high-probability regions.
Results
"Instead of spreading resources thin, we now focus where probability of success is highest. Our board loves the data-driven approach."
— Director of Policy & Advocacy
Federal Agency Enhances Threat Assessment
Challenge
A government intelligence team needed to incorporate open-source forecasting into their existing assessment processes.
Solution
Integrated Tier9 API with internal systems, using crowd forecasts as one input into their structured analytic techniques.
Results
"The calibrated probabilities give us a quantitative baseline. Combined with our classified sources, we get a more complete picture."
— Senior Intelligence Analyst
Asset Manager Enhances Macro Research
Challenge
A $50B asset manager wanted to quantify geopolitical and policy risks affecting their emerging market positions.
Solution
Deployed Tier9 Teams across their macro research team, with custom dashboards tracking election and policy outcomes.
Results
"Having calibrated probabilities on election outcomes has transformed how we think about EM risk. It's now central to our process."
— Head of Macro Research
Research Institute Studies Collective Intelligence
Challenge
A leading university wanted to run forecasting tournaments to study crowd wisdom and train graduate students.
Solution
Used Tier9's organization features to create private forecasting tournaments with custom questions and scoring.
Results
"Tier9 gave us the infrastructure to run rigorous forecasting experiments without building our own platform."
— Professor of Decision Science
Utility Company Improves Grid Planning
Challenge
A regional utility needed better forecasts on extreme weather events and policy changes affecting their grid investments.
Solution
Combined Tier9 climate and policy forecasts with internal models to create probabilistic infrastructure planning scenarios.
Results
"The scenario planning tools let us stress-test our infrastructure investments against different climate and policy futures."
— Chief Strategy Officer
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