Research Focus
Tier9 combines forecasting science, geospatial intelligence, and real-world data to solve prediction problems that matter. Here's where we're pushing the boundaries.
Geospatial Reasoning
Using satellite imagery and conformal prediction to detect crises, monitor infrastructure, assess soil degradation, and verify parametric insurance claims with AI-powered pixel-level analysis.
Multi-Modal Forecasting
Synthesizing diverse data streams—soil health, infrastructure status, climate patterns, supply chain dynamics—into unified probabilistic forecasts that capture compound risks.
Uncertainty Quantification
Building calibrated confidence intervals around predictions using conformal prediction methods. Forecasts without calibration are just noise—we measure and improve uncertainty bounds.
Real-Time Crisis Detection
Combining GeoSAM satellite analysis, infrastructure monitoring, and sensor fusion to detect crises as they unfold. Early warning that turns forecasts into actionable alerts.
Parametric Insurance Triggers
Designing data-driven insurance products where payouts are triggered by verifiable physical events—soil degradation, infrastructure failure, supply chain disruption—eliminating claims friction.
Impact Measurement & Verification
Using satellite data and conformal prediction to verify that forecast-driven decisions actually produced measurable outcomes. Closing the feedback loop between prediction and impact.
Applied Across Tier9
These research directions aren't academic exercises—they power every Tier9 product and decision system.
Crisis Dashboard
Geospatial reasoning + real-time detection = automated crisis severity assessment
Insurance Oracle
Parametric triggers + impact verification = data-driven payout automation
Supply Chain Autopilot
Multi-modal forecasting + uncertainty quantification = resilient routing decisions
Regional Stability Index
Compound risk assessment with calibrated confidence intervals across 8 dimensions
Explore Research & Impact
See how these research directions translate into real forecasts, verified outcomes, and better decisions.