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Argentina Sovereign Risk AnalysisFREE PREVIEW
President Milei's economic reform program
42%
Default Probability (12mo)
Credit Rating
CCC+
S&P / Fitch
Spread (bps)
1847
+142 (1w)
Inflation Rate
211%
-32% (peak)
FX Reserves
$21.2B
+$8B (YTD)
Active Forecasts
Argentina debt restructuring by Dec 2025
+5%
38%
IMF program extension approval
-3%
72%
Peso devaluation >30% in 6 months
+8%
55%
Inflation below 100% by end 2025
+12%
28%
Risk Factor Analysis
Political stability35/100
Fiscal discipline52/100
FX reserves28/100
External debt service22/100
Historical Default Record
2020
Restructuring
$65B
2014
Technical Default
$1.3B
2001
Full Default
$95B
Next Payment Due
Jan 2025 - $4.9B
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