Tier9
For Nonprofits & Foundations

Track policy adoption probability

Interactive policy tracker — filter by category, see trend indicators, and generate board-ready reports.

Policy Adoption Tracker

Monitor advocacy priorities and policy forecast probabilities

Avg. Probability:49%
climatelikely

Federal Clean Energy Tax Credit Extension

Deadline: Dec 202545 forecasters

+5%

72%

climatetracking

State-Level Plastic Bag Ban (3+ states)

Deadline: Dec 202638 forecasters

-3%

58%

healthtracking

Medicare Drug Price Negotiation Expansion

Deadline: 202652 forecasters

+2%

41%

educationunlikely

Universal Pre-K Funding Bill

Deadline: 202534 forecasters

-8%

28%

economictracking

Child Tax Credit Permanent Extension

Deadline: Dec 202561 forecasters

+4%

35%

healthlikely

WHO Pandemic Treaty Ratification

Deadline: 202548 forecasters

+1%

62%

Click a policy to view detailed forecast data

No credit card required. 14-day free trial on all plans.

Forecasting for social impact

From grant allocation to policy advocacy, anticipate outcomes and communicate risk.

Grant Portfolio Risk
Forecast which grants are likely to succeed or face implementation challenges.
Policy Adoption Tracking
Estimate probability of policy changes you're advocating for.
Program Impact Forecasting
Predict program outcomes before final evaluation data arrives.
Report Generation
Export probability-weighted scenarios for board reports and donor updates.
Coalition Forecasting
Aggregate forecasts across partner organizations for shared initiatives.
Advocacy Dashboards
Track and communicate risk to policymakers with clear visualizations.

Example forecast questions

The types of questions nonprofits and foundations can track on Tier9.

"Will Congress pass legislation expanding renewable energy tax credits by end of 2025?"
Track policy probability to time advocacy pushes and inform grant strategy.
"Will global measles cases decrease by 25% by 2027?"
Monitor program forecasts quarterly, adjust resources based on updated probabilities.
"Will at least 3 US states adopt plastic bag bans by 2026?"
Communicate risk to stakeholders and measure advocacy effectiveness over time.

Ready to forecast policy impact?

Our Teams plan works great for nonprofits. Contact us for custom arrangements.