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Sovereign Debt & Economic Fragility
regionalRecord $1.4 trillion debt servicing costs in LMICs diverting resources from sustainable development
Risk Assessment for Global
0%
Probability of significant event
within 12 months
Forecast horizon12 months
1 month3 years
Active Forecast Questions
Will major emerging market default on sovereign debt by 2027?
45%
by 2027
Will debt relief initiative reduce LMIC debt by >$100B by 2030?
35%
by 2030
Key Indicators
LMIC Debt Servicing Cost1.4 $ trillion
Countries in/at High Risk of Debt Distress60 countries
Average Public Debt-to-GDP (LMICs)64 %
Most Affected
AfricaSouth AmericaSouth AsiaCaribbean