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Forecasting for Human Flourishing

Data to Drive Better Decisions

Early warnings that save lives. Impact calculations that guide resources. Decision tools that uncover insights. All grounded in transparent, verifiable data.

Our mission: Help humanity anticipate and prevent crises by making forecasting accessible, actionable, and accountable. Every data point traces to its source. Every recommendation is evidence-based.

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Global Challenges Monitor

Real-time risk assessment for Global

Climate & Extreme Weather

Rising global temperatures, extreme weather events, and environmental changes measured by international scientific organizations

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Disease Outbreaks & Health Security

Emerging infectious diseases, outbreak response capacity, and pandemic preparedness measured by WHO and CDC

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AI Safety & Labor Transition

Artificial intelligence safety incidents, workforce displacement, and governance gaps measured by research institutions

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Global Water Crisis

Freshwater scarcity, water stress, and access to safe drinking water affecting over 2 billion people globally

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Global Mental Health Crisis

Over 1 billion people living with mental health conditions, with depression and anxiety as leading causes of disability

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Antimicrobial Resistance (AMR)

Superbugs and antibiotic-resistant infections threatening to kill 39 million people by 2050 without intervention

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Global Education & Learning Crisis

251 million children out of school and 70% of children in LMICs cannot read age-appropriate text

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Cybersecurity & Critical Infrastructure

Ransomware attacks surged 34% in 2025, with 50% targeting critical infrastructure including healthcare and energy

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Global Housing Affordability Crisis

96,000 new affordable units needed daily to meet 2030 demand, with half of tenants spending >30% of income on rent

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Biodiversity Loss & Ecosystem Collapse

73% decline in global wildlife populations since 1970, with ecosystems approaching dangerous tipping points

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Demographic Aging & Workforce Crisis

By 2050, 16% of global population will be 65+, straining healthcare and pension systems worldwide

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Misinformation & Information Integrity

WEF #1 short-term global risk - AI-generated disinformation eroding trust and destabilizing democracies

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Forced Displacement & Migration

Over 120 million people forcibly displaced globally - more than double since 2015, driven by conflict and climate

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Sovereign Debt & Economic Fragility

Record $1.4 trillion debt servicing costs in LMICs diverting resources from sustainable development

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Global Supply Chain Vulnerability

Critical dependencies on concentrated supply chains for semiconductors, rare earths, and pharmaceuticals

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Food Security & Nutrition

Acute and chronic food insecurity, malnutrition levels, and famine risk measured by UN FAO and WFP

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Armed Conflict & Civilian Safety

Active conflicts, civilian casualties, and humanitarian access measured by ACLED, UNHCR, and UN OCHA

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Displacement & Migration

Refugees, internally displaced persons, and migration flows measured by UNHCR and IOM

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Governance & Institutional Stability

Rule of law, government effectiveness, and institutional quality measured by World Bank and international indices

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Mental Health & Wellbeing

Depression, anxiety, suicide rates, and mental health service capacity measured by WHO and national health systems

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Housing Affordability

Housing costs relative to income, homelessness, and housing availability measured by national statistics

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Healthcare Access & Costs

Healthcare accessibility, wait times, costs, and outcomes measured by WHO and national health ministries

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Demographic Transition

Aging populations, fertility decline, and workforce changes measured by UN Population Division

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Water Scarcity & Resources

Freshwater availability, aquifer depletion, and water stress measured by UN Water and World Resources Institute

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Public Safety & Violence

Homicide rates, organized crime, and personal safety measured by UNODC and national statistics

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Economic Stability & Debt

Inflation, debt sustainability, currency stability, and recession risk measured by IMF and World Bank

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About this data

Risk assessments are derived from authoritative sources including UN agencies and academic institutions. Forecasts combine crowd wisdom with AI analysis. All data sources are transparent and verifiable.

How This Platform Drives Impact

Anticipate Crises Earlier

Early warning systems detect emerging risks weeks or months before they become crises. In Ethiopia, anticipatory action triggered by early warnings helped 900,000 people avoid famine.

Allocate Resources Effectively

Cost-effectiveness analysis shows which interventions save the most lives per dollar. The difference between average and excellent allocation can be 100x in impact.

Understand Interconnections

Crises don't happen in isolation. Understanding how food insecurity leads to displacement which strains governance helps target interventions at root causes.

Our Commitment to Objectivity

Every forecast is grounded in verifiable data from recognized institutions. We measure outcomes, not intentions. We present probabilities, not opinions. Our goal is to help society make better decisions based on the best available evidence.

Read our methodologyView all data sourcesTrack record

Turn Forecasts Into Action

Join decision-makers using data-driven intelligence to anticipate crises, allocate resources effectively, and save lives.

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