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Public Safety & Violence
regionalHomicide rates, organized crime, and personal safety measured by UNODC and national statistics
Risk Assessment for Global
0%
Probability of significant event
within 12 months
Forecast horizon12 months
1 month3 years
Active Forecast Questions
Will Mexico's homicide rate decrease below 25 per 100,000 by 2027?
22%
by 2027
Will Haiti experience >50% increase in gang-controlled territory by 2026?
55%
by 2026
Key Indicators
Intentional Homicide Rate5.8 per 100,000
Organized Crime Index4.9 score (1-10, higher=worse)
Feel Safe Walking at Night55 % population
Most Affected
South AmericaCentral AmericaCaribbeanSouth AfricaMexico